Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.049145 0.053345 0.057592 0.062199 0.067050 0.071998 0.077422
2025-07-13 0.042029 0.048158 0.054573 0.061761 0.069565 0.077755 0.086976
2025-07-20 0.036990 0.044504 0.052614 0.061957 0.072364 0.083543 0.096403
2025-07-27 0.033475 0.042085 0.051636 0.062906 0.075736 0.089784 0.106228
2025-08-03 0.030941 0.040479 0.051319 0.064383 0.079532 0.096390 0.116409
2025-08-10 0.026810 0.036647 0.048126 0.062272 0.078997 0.097919 0.120717
2025-08-17 0.024100 0.034283 0.046454 0.061747 0.080134 0.101229 0.126958
2025-08-24 0.021722 0.032134 0.044868 0.061170 0.081078 0.104215 0.132749
2025-08-31 0.020717 0.031634 0.045235 0.062903 0.084742 0.110375 0.142256
2025-09-07 0.019567 0.030851 0.045169 0.064040 0.087640 0.115606 0.150668
2025-09-14 0.018357 0.029895 0.044808 0.064743 0.089962 0.120120 0.158223
2025-09-21 0.017041 0.028699 0.044059 0.064887 0.091539 0.123702 0.164646
2025-09-28 0.016444 0.028497 0.044632 0.066773 0.095372 0.130140 0.174670
2025-10-05 0.014999 0.026995 0.043392 0.066243 0.096115 0.132771 0.180079
2025-10-12 0.013922 0.025955 0.042721 0.066414 0.097718 0.136451 0.186777
2025-10-19 0.013206 0.025399 0.042678 0.067391 0.100343 0.141401 0.195049
2025-10-26 0.012724 0.025165 0.043062 0.068929 0.103695 0.147277 0.204499
2025-11-02 0.011144 0.023109 0.040758 0.066714 0.102053 0.146787 0.205982
2025-11-09 0.010177 0.021959 0.039700 0.066162 0.102565 0.149005 0.210834
2025-11-16 0.009275 0.020846 0.038640 0.065556 0.102966 0.151052 0.215456
2025-11-23 0.009061 0.020881 0.039289 0.067372 0.106639 0.157338 0.225480
2025-11-30 0.008705 0.020643 0.039509 0.068562 0.109463 0.162536 0.234143
2025-12-07 0.008262 0.020223 0.039425 0.069298 0.111661 0.166920 0.241784